4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
1,546 sqft ·
Built 2011
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 165 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,229/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,662
Tax + insurance
−$944
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,308
Net cashflow
$-685/mo
Annual
$-8,220/yr
Cap rate
5.37%
Cash-on-cash
-3.30%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$248,920
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $889k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-685 ($-8k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-343/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $768k (13.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $623k (29.9% below list).
It's been on market 165 days — a 12% lower offer ($782k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $623k (29.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $95k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $89k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $56k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $628k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$153k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 165 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-1ZK95H330Q6B7H
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29