370 Breckenridge St

Buffalo, NY 14213

$423,000A

8 bd · 4.0 ba · 5,250 sqft · Built 1902 · MultiFamily · Active · 148 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $6,200/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,218
• Tax + insurance: −$271
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,302
• Net cashflow: $2,409/mo
• Annual: $28,902/yr
• Cap rate: 13.13%
• Cash-on-cash: 24.40%
• DSCR: 2.09
• 1% rule: 1.47%
• Cash to close: $118,440

Investor read

• This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $423k. Condition is rated fair.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($29k/yr) — positive. Per door: $602/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $423k).
• It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($372k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $372k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $35k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
• Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: International School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,048 of 2,108 statewide, top 97%, 981 students, 92% FRL); Hutchinson Central Technical High School (math 96% / reading 32%, grade B-, #807 of 1,100 statewide, top 73%, 1,175 students, 78% FRL).
• Watch-outs: built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 247 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
• 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $27k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $355k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
• At projected returns (7.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $118k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$56k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 6.9% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent per unit runs 35% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
• Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Minor: Vinyl siding — Some discoloration
• Minor: Landscaping — Overgrown grass