2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,116 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 54 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,600/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$959
Tax + insurance
−$263
HOA
−$31
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$336
Net cashflow
$11/mo
Annual
$126/yr
Cap rate
6.36%
Cash-on-cash
0.25%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$51,212
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $183k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $11 ($126/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (12.5% below list).
It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $160k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#618 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Highlands (other): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Sun 'N Lake Elementary School (math 63% / reading 59%, grade B, #653 of 2,144 statewide, top 31%, 618 students, 67% FRL); Hill-Gustat Middle School (math 53% / reading 50%, grade C, #232 of 571 statewide, top 41%, 705 students, 63% FRL); Sebring High School (math 32% / reading 48%, grade F, #296 of 667 statewide, top 45%, 1,809 students, 56% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 705 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 980 units permitted in Highlands County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $150k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.3% in Sebring — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1ZYQBR1SW3MJZX
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29