3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,770 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 85 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,576/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$551
Tax + insurance
−$196
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$331
Net cashflow
$499/mo
Annual
$5,987/yr
Cap rate
11.99%
Cash-on-cash
20.36%
DSCR
1.91
1% rule
1.50%
Cash to close
$29,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $499 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
St. Cloud Public School District (urban): math 27% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #264 of 301 in MN (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Madison Elementary (math 28% / reading 31%, grade F, #687 of 857 statewide, top 82%, 649 students, 74% FRL); North Junior High (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #219 of 258 statewide, top 86%, 708 students, 77% FRL); Apollo Senior High (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #282 of 471 statewide, top 63%, 1,225 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 48% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 237 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 661 units permitted in Stearns County in 2024 (291 in 5+ unit buildings).
Stearns County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 4.2% in St. Cloud — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Significant damage and potential leaks.
Major: siding
— Peeling paint and possible rot.
Major: fencing
— Broken sections and missing panels.
Major: landscaping
— Sparse and overgrown, with no visible lawn care.
Major: exterior paint
— Peeling paint and overall poor condition of the exterior.
CashFlowRE · CFR-20NAWTAS1X9X3B
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29