4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,610 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,899/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$655
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$609
Net cashflow
$61/mo
Annual
$733/yr
Cap rate
6.54%
Cash-on-cash
0.87%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$84,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $61 ($733/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $290k (3.4% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $290k (3.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#695 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
Edgewater Park Township School District (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #418 of 472 in NJ (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Mildred Magowan Elementary School (math 2% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,065 of 1,303 statewide, top 83%, 525 students, 52% FRL); Samuel M Ridgway Middle School (math 11% / reading 33%, grade F, #383 of 431 statewide, top 90%, 417 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 38% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,161 units permitted in Burlington County in 2024 (988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Burlington County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.9% in Croydon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($88k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-20QYBV9B6QH6QK
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29