2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,300 sqft ·
Built 1970
· Condo
· Pending
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,728/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,302
Tax + insurance
−$798
HOA
−$1,455
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$993
Net cashflow
$-820/mo
Annual
$-9,837/yr
Cap rate
4.23%
Cash-on-cash
-7.35%
DSCR
0.67
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$122,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $439k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-820 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $439k).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($426k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $426k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#58 in NY, #868 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Mineola Union Free School District (suburban): math 71% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #113 of 590 in NY (top 19%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Jackson Avenue School (math 63% / reading 70%, grade B+, #575 of 2,108 statewide, top 27%, 417 students, 27% FRL); Mineola Middle School (math 66% / reading 57%, grade B+, #147 of 729 statewide, top 20%, 636 students, 32% FRL); Mineola High School (math 92% / reading 80%, grade A, #347 of 1,100 statewide, top 32%, 1,078 students, 34% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 31% of rent.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-20WJKJEBFYM3GE
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29