3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,150 sqft ·
Built 1951
· SingleFamily
· Active Option Contract
· 54 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,979/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,174
Tax + insurance
−$484
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$416
Net cashflow
$-95/mo
Annual
$-1,142/yr
Cap rate
5.78%
Cash-on-cash
-1.82%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$62,692
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $224k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-95 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $207k (7.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (11.6% below list).
It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $198k (11.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Leila P Cowart El (math 23% / reading 31%, grade F, #2,791 of 4,322 statewide, top 68%, 559 students, 92% FRL); L V Stockard Middle (math 21% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,327 of 1,662 statewide, top 81%, 868 students, 88% FRL); Moises E Molina H S (math 26% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,170 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 2,074 students, 91% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.9%/yr); 158 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-20Y69R55RGZ30E
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29