3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,472 sqft ·
Built 2000
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 219 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,188/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$314
Tax + insurance
−$100
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$249
Net cashflow
$524/mo
Annual
$6,291/yr
Cap rate
16.79%
Cash-on-cash
37.51%
DSCR
2.67
1% rule
1.98%
Cash to close
$16,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $524 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 219 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#994 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D, schools D-.
Bolivar-Richburg Central School District (rural): math 50% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #395 of 590 in NY (top 67%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 87 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Allegany County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (4.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 219 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Severe weathering and wear.
Major: landscaping
— Overgrown vegetation and unkempt lawn.
Major: roof
— No visible roof in the satellite image, likely in poor condition based on context.
Major: interior walls and paint
— No visible interior walls or paint, likely in poor condition based on context.
Major: HVAC and mechanical systems
— No visible systems or appliances, likely in poor condition based on context.
Major: foundation and structure
— No visible foundation or structure issues, but context suggests potential structural concerns based on the overall condition of the home.
CashFlowRE · CFR-21748TAJQSPB0M
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29