3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,376 sqft ·
Built 2010
· Townhouse
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,158/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$126
HOA
−$47
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$453
Net cashflow
$536/mo
Annual
$6,426/yr
Cap rate
9.68%
Cash-on-cash
12.08%
DSCR
1.54
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$53,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $536 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#240 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Aiken 01 (suburban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #36 of 80 in SC (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 299 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,500 units permitted in Aiken County in 2024 (1,023 in 5+ unit buildings).
Aiken County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
8 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (8.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 6.0% in Graniteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-21C9YC5EQYNB0W
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29