3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,230 sqft ·
Built 1979
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 59 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,094/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$834
Tax + insurance
−$98
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$230
Net cashflow
$-68/mo
Annual
$-815/yr
Cap rate
5.78%
Cash-on-cash
-1.83%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$44,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-68 ($-815/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (7.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (31.2% below list).
It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $109k (31.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (8.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#362 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
Paoli (rural): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #426 of 513 in OK (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Paoli Es (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #755 of 845 statewide, top 90%, 100 students, 0% FRL); Paoli Hs (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #236 of 447 statewide, top 61%, 60 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Garvin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Garvin County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (8.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-21KZMZ6Z0FTFYY
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29