2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Manufactured
· Active
· 202 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$980/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$95
Tax + insurance
−$30
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$206
Net cashflow
$649/mo
Annual
$7,785/yr
Cap rate
49.31%
Cash-on-cash
153.62%
DSCR
7.84
1% rule
5.41%
Cash to close
$5,068
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $18k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $649 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($980 rent vs $18k).
It's been on market 202 days — a 12% lower offer ($16k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $16k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $125 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $543 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#2 in NV, #1,723 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Clark County School District (urban): math 21% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #11 of 17 in NV (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Cambeiro Arturo Es (math 10% / reading 20%, grade F, #338 of 402 statewide, top 85%, 524 students, 100% FRL); Smith J D Ms (1,254 students, 100% FRL); Desert Pines Hs (math 5% / reading 20%, grade F, #116 of 131 statewide, top 88%, 3,151 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 52% district-wide (48 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 14% at this address vs 30% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Clark County School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 260 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 14,754 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (2,301 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clark County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 202 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-225QFW4KQHE8K1
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29