2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
572 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 230 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,137/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$645
Tax + insurance
−$190
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$239
Net cashflow
$63/mo
Annual
$755/yr
Cap rate
6.91%
Cash-on-cash
2.19%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$34,440
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $123k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $63 ($755/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (7.6% below list).
It's been on market 230 days — a 12% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $108k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $850 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#368 in PA, #3,206 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
Hopewell Area SD (suburban): math 36% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #191 of 539 in PA (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hopewell El Sch (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #737 of 1,518 statewide, top 52%, 354 students, 35% FRL); Hopewell Jhs (math 30% / reading 59%, grade D, #194 of 512 statewide, top 39%, 622 students, 39% FRL); Hopewell Shs (math 67%, 590 students, 30% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 127 active listings in the ZIP; 272 units permitted in Beaver County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Beaver County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $52k; list at $123k implies a 134% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.2% in South Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 230 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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