2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
632 sqft ·
Built 1935
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 56 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$977/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$597
Tax + insurance
−$171
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$205
Net cashflow
$3/mo
Annual
$39/yr
Cap rate
6.33%
Cash-on-cash
0.12%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$31,892
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $114k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3 ($39/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $98k (14.2% below list).
It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $98k (14.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($787 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#6 in IN, #676 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+.
Fort Wayne Community Schools (urban): math 22% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #263 of 301 in IN (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Adams Elementary School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #949 of 994 statewide, top 97%, 270 students, 90% FRL); Blackhawk Middle School (math 28% / reading 38%, grade F, #180 of 330 statewide, top 56%, 797 students, 46% FRL); R Nelson Snider High School (math 27% / reading 53%, grade F, #217 of 369 statewide, top 59%, 1,899 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 62% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,861 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (576 in 5+ unit buildings).
Allen County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.8% in Fort Wayne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-22ZKGBFZJAF764
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29