2 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,305 sqft ·
Built 1980
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 92 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,367/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$944
Tax + insurance
−$125
HOA
−$175
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$497
Net cashflow
$626/mo
Annual
$7,516/yr
Cap rate
10.47%
Cash-on-cash
14.91%
DSCR
1.66
1% rule
1.31%
Cash to close
$50,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $626 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $164k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#19 in WY, #4,785 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Sweetwater County School District #2 (town): math 62% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #6 of 41 in WY (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Sweetwater County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sweetwater County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 2.9% in Green River — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-22ZVNE929YXD5V
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29