3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,981 sqft ·
Built 2015
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 240 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,636/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,977
Tax + insurance
−$628
HOA
−$74
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$554
Net cashflow
$-597/mo
Annual
$-7,161/yr
Cap rate
4.39%
Cash-on-cash
-6.78%
DSCR
0.70
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$105,560
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $377k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-597 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $291k (22.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $264k (30.1% below list).
It's been on market 240 days — a 12% lower offer ($332k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $264k (30.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-2.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#46 in FL, #867 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D-.
Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 333 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 240 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-234W2XAVTP0S4X
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29