10311 219th Avenue Ct E #22

Bonney Lake, WA 98391

$239,000B+

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,728 sqft · Built 2002 · Manufactured · Pending · 82 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $3,270/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,253
• Tax + insurance: −$313
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$687
• Net cashflow: $1,017/mo
• Annual: $12,203/yr
• Cap rate: 11.40%
• Cash-on-cash: 18.24%
• DSCR: 1.81
• 1% rule: 1.37%
• Cash to close: $66,920

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $239k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $239k).
• It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($225k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $225k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#215 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
• White River School District (suburban): math 57% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #35 of 291 in WA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 736 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 3.1% in Bonney Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.