2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,408 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 93 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,721/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$547
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$361
Net cashflow
$-184/mo
Annual
$-2,206/yr
Cap rate
5.13%
Cash-on-cash
-4.15%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$53,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-184 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $158k (17.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (9.4% below list).
It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $158k (17.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#358 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, commute F.
Mesquite ISD (suburban): math 35% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #536 of 826 in TX (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Mcwhorter El (math 40% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,709 of 4,322 statewide, top 40%, 516 students, 93% FRL); Wilkinson Middle (math 32% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 702 students, 90% FRL); West Mesquite H S (math 41% / reading 31%, grade F, #930 of 1,632 statewide, top 57%, 2,172 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 90% FRL vs 63% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 345 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-23HBBP03GYE9SE
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29