3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,262 sqft ·
Built 2000
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,471/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$886
Tax + insurance
−$192
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$309
Net cashflow
$84/mo
Annual
$1,005/yr
Cap rate
6.89%
Cash-on-cash
2.12%
DSCR
1.09
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$47,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $84 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (13.0% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $147k (13.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#91 in MT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
Sunburst K-12 Schools (rural): math 55% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #45 of 339 in MT (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP.
Toole County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2469K6D7F58DWA
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29