3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,440 sqft ·
Built 1986
· Manufactured
· Active
· 144 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$12,563/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,258
Tax + insurance
−$175
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,638
Net cashflow
$8,491/mo
Annual
$101,896/yr
Cap rate
48.77%
Cash-on-cash
151.69%
DSCR
7.75
1% rule
5.24%
Cash to close
$67,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $240k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $8k ($102k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $240k).
It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $211k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#412 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A-, housing B; Watch: employment D+, crime D-, amenities F.
Carteret County Public Schools (rural): math 59% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #31 of 178 in NC (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Beaufort Elementary (math 57% / reading 56%, grade C+, #280 of 1,410 statewide, top 20%, 378 students, 99% FRL); Beaufort Middle (math 42% / reading 55%, grade C-, #127 of 475 statewide, top 28%, 258 students, 99% FRL); East Carteret High (math 82% / reading 62%, grade B+, #107 of 535 statewide, top 21%, 530 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 39% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 935 units permitted in Carteret County in 2024 (360 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carteret County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 48.8% vs local median 2.0% in Morehead City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $12,563/mo this rent would consume 215% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 461% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-24NW0GD9Q38SRA
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29