2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1999
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,808/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$77
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$380
Net cashflow
$853/mo
Annual
$10,236/yr
Cap rate
17.07%
Cash-on-cash
38.48%
DSCR
2.71
1% rule
1.90%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $853 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Conestoga Valley SD (suburban): math 43% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #156 of 539 in PA (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Leola El Sch (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,049 of 1,518 statewide, top 71%, 327 students, 63% FRL); Conestoga Valley Shs (math 75% / reading 24%, grade D+, #135 of 437 statewide, top 31%, 1,282 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 27% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 321 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-259TWF46RF6J39
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29