15 bd · 5.0 ba ·
6,519 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Under Contract
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$9,189/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,799
Tax + insurance
−$1,410
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,930
Net cashflow
$2,050/mo
Annual
$24,598/yr
Cap rate
9.69%
Cash-on-cash
12.13%
DSCR
1.54
1% rule
1.27%
Cash to close
$202,860
Investor read
This is a 5 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $724k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($25k/yr) — positive. Per door: $410/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $724k).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($703k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $703k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $77k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $72k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#67 in CT, #4,936 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: crime D, employment D, schools F.
New Britain School District (suburban): math 6% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #153 of 153 in CT (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 63 active listings in the ZIP; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $325k; list at $724k implies a 123% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $203k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$125k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.4% in New Britain — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $9,189/mo this rent would consume 216% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 2100% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-25B3WNDVD1BCMZ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29