2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
552 sqft ·
Built 1971
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,128/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$170
Tax + insurance
−$25
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$237
Net cashflow
$696/mo
Annual
$8,346/yr
Cap rate
31.97%
Cash-on-cash
91.72%
DSCR
5.08
1% rule
3.47%
Cash to close
$9,100
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $32k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $696 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $32k).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $32k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $225 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $975 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#147 in VA, #4,742 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Halifax County Public School District (town): math 29% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #116 of 131 in VA (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 97 units permitted in Halifax County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Halifax County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 32.0% vs local median 4.7% in South Boston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-25GAGAAMBCJWGZ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29