3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,656 sqft ·
Built 1923
· Townhouse
· Active
· 446 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,128/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$192
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$237
Net cashflow
$97/mo
Annual
$1,159/yr
Cap rate
7.30%
Cash-on-cash
3.60%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $115k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $97 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (1.9% below list).
It's been on market 446 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#34 in WV, #4,824 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
Randolph County Schools (town): math 24% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #33 of 55 in WV (top 60%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Randolph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Randolph County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.7% in Elkins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 446 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— poor condition
Major: kitchen countertops
— worn and outdated
Major: bathroom fixtures
— dated and worn
Minor: paint
— peeling and discoloration
CashFlowRE · CFR-2706CFD50Y7K6V
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29