2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
921 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,320/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$182
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$277
Net cashflow
$127/mo
Annual
$1,529/yr
Cap rate
7.39%
Cash-on-cash
3.90%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $127 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (5.6% below list).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $132k (5.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#180 in TX, #4,694 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, amenities F.
Tidehaven ISD (rural): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #127 of 826 in TX (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 153 units permitted in Matagorda County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (7.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2708TVCG28A2GY
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29