3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,905 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 89 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,750/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$130
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$368
Net cashflow
$519/mo
Annual
$6,231/yr
Cap rate
10.75%
Cash-on-cash
15.91%
DSCR
1.71
1% rule
1.25%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $519 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $132k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#219 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
North Spencer County School Corporation (rural): math 64% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #12 of 301 in IN (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: David Turnham Education Center (math 72% / reading 62%, grade B+, #55 of 994 statewide, top 6%, 300 students, 52% FRL); Heritage Hills Middle School (math 58% / reading 62%, grade B, #15 of 330 statewide, top 5%, 299 students, 34% FRL); Heritage Hills High School (math 52% / reading 77%, grade B-, #34 of 369 statewide, top 10%, 642 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools average 40% FRL vs 23% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 78 units permitted in Spencer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Spencer County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-278QG8BNXXS0YN
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29