4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,612 sqft ·
Built 1904
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 65 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$233
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$315
Net cashflow
$428/mo
Annual
$5,138/yr
Cap rate
12.23%
Cash-on-cash
21.22%
DSCR
1.94
1% rule
1.50%
Cash to close
$27,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $428 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#515 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Caldwell County Schools (suburban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #106 of 178 in NC (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Granite Falls Elementary (math 59% / reading 59%, grade B-, #228 of 1,410 statewide, top 16%, 582 students, 56% FRL); South Caldwell High (math 55% / reading 51%, grade C-, #281 of 535 statewide, top 53%, 1,317 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 56% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Caldwell County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 217 units permitted in Caldwell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Caldwell County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exposed wiring in kitchen
— Safety hazard
Major: Exposed plumbing in bath
— Safety hazard
Major: Peeling paint and damaged siding
— Structural integrity
Major: Overgrown landscaping
— Aesthetics
Major: Exposed subflooring and missing flooring
— Safety hazard
Major: Exposed drywall and unfinished ceiling
— Safety hazard
CashFlowRE · CFR-27PFJ82JYPY3KG
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29