4 bd · 3.5 ba ·
2,248 sqft ·
Built 2007
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,626/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,617
Tax + insurance
−$437
HOA
−$200
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$972
Net cashflow
$401/mo
Annual
$4,809/yr
Cap rate
7.26%
Cash-on-cash
3.44%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$139,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath townhouse listed at $499k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $401 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $463k (7.3% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $463k (7.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in GA, #919 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-.
Atlanta Public Schools (urban): math 28% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #80 of 174 in GA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Fred A. Toomer Elementary School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #988 of 1,228 statewide, top 81%, 512 students, 56% FRL); Martin L. King Jr. Middle School (math 16% / reading 23%, grade F, #356 of 470 statewide, top 78%, 818 students, 100% FRL); Maynard Jackson High School (math 30% / reading 24%, grade F, #160 of 424 statewide, top 38%, 1,474 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools at 67% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 174 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,240 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (385 in 5+ unit buildings).
DeKalb County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $330k; list at $499k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.1% in Atlanta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($141k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-27PH8X7CR4K18R
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29