2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
3,650 sqft ·
Built 1875
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 337 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$879/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$419
Tax + insurance
−$210
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$185
Net cashflow
$65/mo
Annual
$777/yr
Cap rate
7.27%
Cash-on-cash
3.47%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$22,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $65 ($777/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($879 rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 337 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#815 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, crime F.
Alexandria Central School District (rural): math 46% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #378 of 590 in NY (top 64%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1875 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 337 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1875 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Severe weathering and peeling
Major: roof
— No visible roof condition
CashFlowRE · CFR-286MZFC4CG9WAQ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29