2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,128 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Condo
· Pending
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,726/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,704
Tax + insurance
−$491
HOA
−$453
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$572
Net cashflow
$-495/mo
Annual
$-5,935/yr
Cap rate
4.47%
Cash-on-cash
-6.52%
DSCR
0.71
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$91,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $325k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-495 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $318k (2.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $273k (16.1% below list).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $273k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#24 in IL, #452 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Chsd 99 (suburban): math 46% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #66 of 620 in IL (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Whittier Elem School (307 students, 0% FRL); Herrick Middle School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #332 of 665 statewide, top 55%, 666 students, 0% FRL); Comm H S Dist 99 - North H S (math 53% / reading 52%, grade C-, #34 of 693 statewide, top 5%, 2,138 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 74 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,378 units permitted in DuPage County in 2024 (594 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $170k; list at $325k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 3.0% in Downers Grove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
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