4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,826 sqft ·
Built 1962
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,887/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$493
Tax + insurance
−$148
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$396
Net cashflow
$850/mo
Annual
$10,195/yr
Cap rate
17.14%
Cash-on-cash
38.74%
DSCR
2.72
1% rule
2.01%
Cash to close
$26,320
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $94k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $850 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $425/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $94k).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $91k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($650 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#739 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
Beaumont ISD (urban): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #789 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 5.3% in Beaumont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $1,887/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 516% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-28MXT2CB775K60
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29