2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,323 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Condo
· Active
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,457/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,884
Tax + insurance
−$816
HOA
−$1,424
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$936
Net cashflow
$-1,603/mo
Annual
$-19,235/yr
Cap rate
2.80%
Cash-on-cash
-12.49%
DSCR
0.44
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$153,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $550k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-19k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $267k (51.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $446k (19.0% below list).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($542k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $267k (51.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-0.8%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#166 in WA, #4,033 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Seattle Public Schools (urban): math 64% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #19 of 291 in WA (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 229 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $335k; list at $550k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 2.8% vs local median 1.6% in Seattle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($152k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-298SF03SPNBZGG
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29