16 bd · 8.0 ba ·
13,410 sqft ·
Built 1915
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 186 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$15,554/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$7,080
Tax + insurance
−$1,412
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,266
Net cashflow
$3,796/mo
Annual
$45,548/yr
Cap rate
9.67%
Cash-on-cash
12.05%
DSCR
1.54
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$378,000
Investor read
This is a 8 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $1.35M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($46k/yr) — positive. Per door: $474/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($16k rent vs $1.35M).
It's been on market 186 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.19M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.19M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $40k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#97 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: schools D, crime F, employment D-.
Springfield (urban): math 13% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #296 of 302 in MA (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 453 units permitted in Hampden County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hampden County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
7 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask is 74900% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $360k; list at $1.35M implies a 275% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $378k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 5.1% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $15,554/mo this rent would consume 368% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 2272% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 186 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29