3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,800 sqft ·
Built 2001
· Timeshare
· Active
· 207 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,410/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$92
HOA
−$771
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$296
Net cashflow
$-37/mo
Annual
$-444/yr
Cap rate
5.48%
Cash-on-cash
-2.89%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
2.56%
Cash to close
$15,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath timeshare listed at $55k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-37 ($-444/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $50k (9.7% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 207 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#114 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Teton County School District #1 (town): math 50% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #14 of 41 in WY (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: HOA is 55% of rent.
Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Teton County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Teton County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 207 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-29V63SAACEFX7G
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29