3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,800 sqft ·
Built 1899
· Condo
· Active
· 64 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,413/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,085
Tax + insurance
−$1,725
HOA
−$1,628
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,347
Net cashflow
$-2,372/mo
Annual
$-28,460/yr
Cap rate
3.30%
Cash-on-cash
-10.70%
DSCR
0.52
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$218,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $779k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-28k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $436k (44.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $641k (17.7% below list).
It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($732k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $436k (44.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $55k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $49k appreciation (6.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Mark Twain Is 239 For The Gifted And Talented (math 90% / reading 96%, grade A+, #6 of 729 statewide, top 1%, 1,207 students, 44% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 25% of rent; built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 112 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 71d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 82% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$87k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.3% vs local median 2.7% in New York — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
At $6,413/mo this rent would consume 199% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 44% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
CashFlowRE · CFR-29W2VSCNTX73RH
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29