3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
963 sqft ·
Built 1961
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 265 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,010/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$456
Tax + insurance
−$93
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$212
Net cashflow
$248/mo
Annual
$2,982/yr
Cap rate
9.72%
Cash-on-cash
12.24%
DSCR
1.54
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$24,360
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $87k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $248 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $87k).
It's been on market 265 days — a 12% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $77k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($601 loan paydown + $652 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Grove Patterson Academy Elementary School (math 47% / reading 66%, grade C+, #761 of 1,584 statewide, top 48%, 403 students, 38% FRL); Rogers High School (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #689 of 781 statewide, top 90%, 721 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 19% FRL vs 72% district-wide (53 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 37% at this address vs 20% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Toledo City average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
9 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $23k; list at $87k implies a 278% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 7.5% in Toledo — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 265 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2A5MV497ZBM6K9
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29