3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,799 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Townhouse
· Active
· 58 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,597/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$333
HOA
−$325
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$545
Net cashflow
$345/mo
Annual
$4,143/yr
Cap rate
8.37%
Cash-on-cash
7.40%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
1.30%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $200k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $345 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $194k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#5 in LA, #2,302 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
St. Tammany Parish (suburban): math 43% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #11 of 98 in LA (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Joseph B. Lancaster Elementary School (math 58% / reading 73%, grade B+, #38 of 646 statewide, top 6%, 1,505 students, 21% FRL); Madisonville Junior High School (math 41% / reading 58%, grade C, #28 of 218 statewide, top 13%, 655 students, 21% FRL); Mandeville High School (math 59% / reading 63%, grade C+, #19 of 265 statewide, top 7%, 2,259 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools average 21% FRL vs 40% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 327 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 119d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,064 units permitted in St. Tammany Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Tammany County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.5% in Madisonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2A9CZN62MEHNXR
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29