4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,434 sqft ·
Built 1963
· Other
· Active
· 188 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,392/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$262
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$502
Net cashflow
$448/mo
Annual
$5,374/yr
Cap rate
8.68%
Cash-on-cash
8.53%
DSCR
1.38
1% rule
1.06%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $448 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $225k).
It's been on market 188 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $198k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: W. Melbourne Elementary School For Science (math 88% / reading 86%, grade A+, #24 of 2,144 statewide, top 1%, 549 students, 18% FRL); Stone Magnet Middle School (math 33% / reading 35%, grade F, #426 of 571 statewide, top 75%, 670 students, 69% FRL); Melbourne Senior High School (math 43% / reading 57%, grade D+, #175 of 667 statewide, top 27%, 2,249 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 201 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 13% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $162k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $2,392/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 2018% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 188 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2AMP483N4VW95H
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29