3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
952 sqft ·
Built 2006
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 77 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,910/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$209
Tax + insurance
−$66
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$401
Net cashflow
$1,233/mo
Annual
$14,801/yr
Cap rate
43.39%
Cash-on-cash
132.48%
DSCR
6.89
1% rule
4.79%
Cash to close
$11,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $38k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#82 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime F, amenities F.
Douglas County (suburban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 174 in GA (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 595 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Douglas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
9 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 3531% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.1% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 43.4% vs local median 4.5% in Douglasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2AWDTC8Y982GM2
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29