4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,876 sqft ·
Built 1926
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 163 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,777/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$250
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$373
Net cashflow
$498/mo
Annual
$5,976/yr
Cap rate
11.07%
Cash-on-cash
17.07%
DSCR
1.76
1% rule
1.42%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $498 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#41 in NE, #2,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D-, commute F.
Hastings Public Schools (town): math 38% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #96 of 111 in NE (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 217 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (132 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $76k; list at $125k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 4.4% in Hastings — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2B8PDJB5N9EPDF
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29