25 bd · 25.0 ba ·
2,758 sqft ·
Built 1941
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 89 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,816/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,919
Tax + insurance
−$406
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,221
Net cashflow
$1,270/mo
Annual
$15,237/yr
Cap rate
9.03%
Cash-on-cash
9.78%
DSCR
1.44
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$155,848
Investor read
This is a 5 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $557k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $254/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $557k).
It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($523k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $523k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#13 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F.
Albuquerque Public Schools (urban): math 51% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #3 of 29 in NM (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 143 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,316 units permitted in Bernalillo County in 2024 (546 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $156k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.7% in Albuquerque — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,816/mo this rent would consume 162% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 1721% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-2BRCD48XR2F3SH
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29