3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,015 sqft ·
Built 1935
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,396/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$129
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$293
Net cashflow
$502/mo
Annual
$6,029/yr
Cap rate
13.73%
Cash-on-cash
26.57%
DSCR
2.18
1% rule
1.55%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $502 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 54/100 on livability (#465 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Brookville Elementary School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #467 of 627 statewide, top 76%, 187 students, 79% FRL); Bragg Middle School (math 6% / reading 51%, grade F, #138 of 257 statewide, top 54%, 746 students, 53% FRL); Gardendale High School (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #118 of 305 statewide, top 45%, 1,047 students, 48% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2BRYX0C946WVTW
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29