3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,061 sqft ·
Built 1880
· Other
· Pending
· 94 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$870/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$655
Tax + insurance
−$115
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$183
Net cashflow
$-83/mo
Annual
$-997/yr
Cap rate
5.49%
Cash-on-cash
-2.85%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$34,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-83 ($-997/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $110k (11.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $87k (30.4% below list).
It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $87k (30.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#683 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Clinton (town): math 32% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #235 of 324 in MO (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Henry Elem. (377 students, 54% FRL); Clinton Middle (math 27% / reading 26%, grade F, #313 of 391 statewide, top 81%, 356 students, 45% FRL); Clinton Sr. High (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #218 of 521 statewide, top 45%, 604 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 188 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Henry County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $49k; list at $125k implies a 155% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 2.9% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2BZ9VQAX5P1WPD
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29