8 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,184 sqft ·
Built 1931
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 159 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$10,605/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$7,866
Tax + insurance
−$1,567
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,227
Net cashflow
$-1,056/mo
Annual
$-12,667/yr
Cap rate
5.45%
Cash-on-cash
-3.02%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$420,000
Investor read
This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.50M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-264/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.31M (12.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.06M (29.3% below list).
It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.32M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.06M (29.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $121k of equity ($10k loan paydown + $111k appreciation (7.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 243 active listings in the ZIP; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $210k; list at $1.50M implies a 614% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$194k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $10,605/mo this rent would consume 176% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 6817% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-2CG5652BS2MFEH
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29