3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,043 sqft ·
Built 1925
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,105/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$183
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$232
Net cashflow
$61/mo
Annual
$728/yr
Cap rate
6.90%
Cash-on-cash
2.17%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $61 ($728/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (8.0% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $110k (8.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#18 in SD, #2,969 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, amenities D+.
Mitchell School District 17-2 (town): math 55% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #11 of 59 in SD (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 48 units permitted in Davison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Davison County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $65k; list at $120k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 2.5% in Mitchell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2CM846EZH61WG3
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29