3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,368 sqft ·
Built 1918
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 114 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,641/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,023
Tax + insurance
−$225
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$345
Net cashflow
$49/mo
Annual
$587/yr
Cap rate
6.59%
Cash-on-cash
1.08%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$54,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $49 ($587/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $164k (15.9% below list).
It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $164k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#118 in MI, #2,903 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing D+, commute F, employment F.
Houghton-Portage Township School District (rural): math 65% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #29 of 540 in MI (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Houghton Elementary School (math 69% / reading 65%, grade B+, #105 of 1,397 statewide, top 9%, 643 students, 35% FRL); Houghton Middle School (math 61% / reading 67%, grade B+, #39 of 493 statewide, top 8%, 341 students, 32% FRL); Houghton Central High School (math 67% / reading 82%, grade B+, #19 of 713 statewide, top 3%, 461 students, 25% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 111 units permitted in Houghton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Houghton County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2D39NKAHEC9KDX
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29