3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,350 sqft ·
Built 2004
· Townhouse
· Active
· 55 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,017/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$182
HOA
−$270
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$423
Net cashflow
$14/mo
Annual
$165/yr
Cap rate
6.37%
Cash-on-cash
0.27%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $14 ($165/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (6.2% below list).
It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $202k (6.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#381 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Sedalia Elementary (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #694 of 1,410 statewide, top 53%, 550 students, 62% FRL); Eastern Guilford Middle (math 26% / reading 38%, grade F, #317 of 475 statewide, top 68%, 980 students, 75% FRL); Eastern Guilford High (math 25% / reading 37%, grade F, #454 of 535 statewide, top 85%, 1,198 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 52% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 105 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.5% in Whitsett — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2D6WX7BQQW6VFR
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29