4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,417 sqft ·
Built 2021
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 191 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,304/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,255
Tax + insurance
−$717
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$904
Net cashflow
$429/mo
Annual
$5,147/yr
Cap rate
7.49%
Cash-on-cash
4.27%
DSCR
1.19
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$120,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $430k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $429 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $430k).
It's been on market 191 days — a 12% lower offer ($378k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $378k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#80 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Washoe County School District (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #6 of 17 in NV (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 186 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 4,085 units permitted in Washoe County in 2024 (1,634 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washoe County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 1.0% in Incline Village — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($167k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 191 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2DMT59BSPKA433
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29