3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,227 sqft ·
Built 1976
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,383/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,259
Tax + insurance
−$172
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$291
Net cashflow
$-338/mo
Annual
$-4,053/yr
Cap rate
4.60%
Cash-on-cash
-6.03%
DSCR
0.73
1% rule
0.58%
Cash to close
$67,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $240k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-338 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $180k (24.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (42.4% below list).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $138k (42.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#345 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Troy City (suburban): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #271 of 656 in OH (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Forest Elementary School (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B, #590 of 1,584 statewide, top 41%, 211 students, 64% FRL); Troy Junior High School (math 59% / reading 57%, grade B, #297 of 654 statewide, top 46%, 663 students, 35% FRL); Troy High School (math 58% / reading 67%, grade B-, #200 of 781 statewide, top 26%, 1,183 students, 36% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 287 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 326 units permitted in Miami County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
7 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $105k; list at $240k implies a 129% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 2.7% in Troy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2E3XXY9HDCFCB7
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29