2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
660 sqft ·
Built 1924
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$816/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$357
Tax + insurance
−$102
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$171
Net cashflow
$187/mo
Annual
$2,239/yr
Cap rate
9.59%
Cash-on-cash
11.76%
DSCR
1.52
1% rule
1.20%
Cash to close
$19,039
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $187 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($816 rent vs $68k).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $67k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $980 of equity ($470 loan paydown + $510 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Arlington Elementary School (math 12% / reading 14%, grade F, #1,429 of 1,584 statewide, top 90%, 327 students, 0% FRL); Bowsher High School (math 23% / reading 45%, grade F, #596 of 781 statewide, top 76%, 1,240 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 25% FRL vs 72% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $52k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2G02EE12J3A2ZN
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29