3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,040 sqft ·
Built 1969
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 62 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,374/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$655
Tax + insurance
−$110
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$288
Net cashflow
$320/mo
Annual
$3,843/yr
Cap rate
9.37%
Cash-on-cash
10.99%
DSCR
1.49
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$34,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $320 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $117k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#26 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Huntsville School District (rural): math 35% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #141 of 238 in AR (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Huntsville Middle School (math 47% / reading 41%, grade D, #65 of 201 statewide, top 34%, 472 students, 67% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 44% at this address vs 32% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Huntsville School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 2.8% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Some items are cluttered
Minor: Bathroom cleaning
— Appears untidy
CashFlowRE · CFR-2G8H7G6SRGJWPB
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29